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Bitcoin remains at $37,000 level, weak altcoin market warns of large-scale unlocking

Macroeconomics and financial markets

On the US New York stock market on the 24th, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 56.6 points (0.16%) from the previous day, and the Nasdaq index fell 9.8 points (0.06%), ending the day’s rise.

Among crypto-asset (virtual currency)-related stocks, the stock price of Coinbase in the US has recovered to an 18-month high of $119.7, following the resignation of CEO Changpeng Zhao of Binance, the largest crypto-asset (virtual currency) exchange. This is due to market expectations that while customers will continue to outflow Binance, competitors are expected to regain market share.

However, compared to the peak price of $343 in November 2021, which was the peak of the bull market, it remains below half the price, and it is expected that it will be influenced by the future market environment of crypto assets such as Bitcoin (BTC).

Coinbase stock plummeted in June this year after being sued by the U.S. SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) for violating U.S. securities laws, but since then, the price of BTC has soared on the back of expectations for the approval of a Bitcoin ETF (exchange traded fund). There was a big backlash.

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Virtual currency market conditions

In the crypto asset (virtual currency) market, the Bitcoin price fell 0.88% from the previous day to 1 BTC = $ 37,157.

BTC/USD daily

The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) investment fund is expected to win in court with the US SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission), and as the market’s optimistic view of Bitcoin ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) grows. The market price deviation (discount) has narrowed to the -8% range.

GBTC divergence

In December 2022, after FTX went bankrupt, there were instances where the negative deviation reached nearly -50%.

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While there is optimism that Binance’s resolution will speed up the approval process for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) investigation into Binance reveals market manipulation and other fraud. There are pessimistic views that if the act is revealed, the approval of physical Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs may be delayed.

On-chain analysis company Santiment analyzed the impact of stablecoins on the recent rise in Bitcoin prices.

From August 19th to October 16th, 3.54% of the total supply of Tether (USDT) and 0.72% of the total supply of USDC were transferred to crypto exchanges. This suggests that he bought virtual currencies such as Bitcoin (BTC) using funds stored in Metamask etc.

According to crypto asset (virtual currency) analyst Ali, about 25,000 BTC worth $1 billion has been withdrawn from crypto asset exchanges in the past two weeks, and transferred to cold wallets etc. with the assumption of long-term holding. This suggests a bullish accumulation pattern.

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Bitcoin ETF special feature

altcoin market

The overheated alt market is expected to subside, as selling pressure is expected to increase in several major alts from early December due to large-scale token unlocking by venture capital firms (VCs) and early investors. spurred on.

Including dYdX (DYDX), which will unlock $480 million worth 71 billion yen, Immutable X (IMX) worth $50 million, Optimism (OP) $41.5 million, Sui (SUI) $40.9 million, and 1inch (1INCH). Includes $33.7 million.

Bitcoin ETF special feature

Click here for a list of past market reports

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