Six forecasts after six months under coronavirus

After six months of experience with the pandemic, it is still unclear to scientists what is the outlook for COVID-19 in the coming months. Coronavirus has been the “Black Swan” of this year. Epidemiologists, including the best of them, have difficulties attempting to predict the outlook for our coming winter season. Not a long time ago, the consensus forecast was that there might be a second wave of infections sometime around October-December, i.e., the winter season. Yet the pandemic produced a big surprise, and the second wave has already arrived. There is also great uncertainty about how an…

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