Follow Coronavirus and S&P 500 to Understand Bitcoin and Crypto Markets: Analyst


follow coronavirus and sp500

  • Trump declares “national emergency in the US”, unleashing $50 billion of Fed’s fund to tackle the virus
  • Stock markets bounced from lows yesterday, after the activation of emergency protocol is expected to bring positive results.
  • Bitcoin and crypto markets is also showing potentials of bulls with a huge bounce as well, but the fear from Coronavirus continues to loom.

As of now, there are 2,028 confirmed cases reported in the US with 48 deaths. Moreover, Europe has become the epicenter of the virus, declares WHO (World Health organization). The number of reported cases in Spain and Italy have risen past 10,000. Trump notes,

It could get worse. The next eight weeks are critical. Some of the doctors say it will wash through, it will flow through. Interesting terms.

The short-term bears seem to have exhausted themselves towards the end of the week.  S&P 500 index bounced 9.3% on a Friday gaining 232 points from the recent bottom.

The downturn in the stock markets and crypto-markets began with Trumps’ announcement on Wednesday declaring a ‘pandemic.’ Currently, Bitcoin is trading in line with the stocks, in terms of being a risk asset.

spx tradingview
S&P 500 Index (TradingView)

Alex Kruger, a prominent economist and crypto analyst notes,

To understand what is going on with crypto prices, need to understand the virus and related events. Can use the price of the S&P 500 as proxy for risk sentiment. $BTC is for moments trading tick for tick with stocks.

btcusd daily chart
BTC/USD 1-Day Chart on Bitstamp (TradingView)

Bitcoin along with the crypto markets revives with much vigor from the bottom yesterday around $3,850. The price of Bitcoin [BTC] at 3: 30 hours UTC on 14th January is $5600, nearly 46% higher from lows. Nonetheless, 34% down from the 200-Day Moving Average above $8500.

As far as the virus in concerned, on how the emergency protocols across the world take effect and time it takes in bringing relief will be instrumental for asset prices. Josh Rager, a derivatives and crypto traders notes,

The President basically made a speech to pump stocks 7% the last hour

Not bullish on crypto markets yet, a long ways to go to be certain COVID19 is contained around the world Prediction is continued ranging $BTC for the time being ( short term neutral)

The US Feds will meet next week where they decide on the new floating interest rates, which is likely to be reduces by another 100 bps. Moreover, a move of S&P 500 index to lows around $2300 could affirmatively throw the ecnonomy into a recession.

Do you think the social measures will be able to revive the world from the pandemic? Please share your views with us.