XBT/USD Analysis: Why Is The Return to $8,800 Necessary for Bitcoin Margin Trading On BitMEX?


  • Bitcoin recovery halted above $9,000 as bears embark on exploring the rabbit hole in the $8,000’s.
  • A retreat to $8,400 or $8,000 (possible bottom) is necessary for gains towards $10,000.

Bitcoin refreshed the range beneath $9,000 as discussed on Friday last week. At the time I said Bitcoin had run out of options. Correction above $9,600 became a pipe dream which left the bulls demoralized. The only option was to breakdown and regroup the bulls at a lower level in order to stage another recovery assault battle.

Although $8,400 was the target last week, XBT/USD found short-term balance above $8,600. This gave way for recovery as the bulls pushed the price above $9,000. Besides, the price high levels around $9,200 (short term absolute ceiling). This left a window that is currently being explored by the bears.

XBT/USD 1-hour chart

XBT/USD price chart
XBT/USD price chart by Tradingview

Bitcoin price is back under $9,000 and refreshing the levels towards $8,800. It is clear that the contract is yet to find a support. The recovery over the weekend was marked with a lot of profit taking. Moreover, shorts traders have their eyes set on $8,400 and $8,000 respectively.

Meanwhile, the 50 MA on the 1-hour is proving short term support. A possible bottom is $8,800 but a drop to $8,400 could create overwhelming demand for Bitcoin. The kind that can catapult Bitcoin to levels above $10,500 reminiscent of the previous surge from $7,300 to highs above $10,500.

The Relative Strength Index is sharply falling towards oversold. However, the signal is just about to pierce through 40. A reversal is possible in the short-term. Therefore, the longs traders need to be on the lookout for a reversal of the RSI.

XBT/USD BitMEX Details

Index price: $8,880.90

24-hour volume: $2 billion

Open interest: $799 million

Funding rate: 0.01% in six hours

Contract value: $1

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