Bitcoin Price Analysis: Must BTC/USD Revisit $9,200 For Fresh Demand?

  • The high congestion of sellers at $9,800 has thwarted advances by the buyers after BTC/USD dropped to $9,600.
  • Bitcoin’s shallow recovery is characterized by weak fundamentals such as low volume and low volatility levels.

Bitcoin is lethargic in its recovery following another dump to $9,600. Similarly, the general trend on the market is just as drab. Ethereum can barely hold above the support at $200 while Ripple has been unable to stay above $0.27.

The largest crypto in the cryptocurrency market is bullish especially after reclaiming the position above $9,700. However, correction towards $9,800 is hampered by the high concentration of sellers at $9,776 (intraday high).

BTC/USD 4-hour chart

BTC/USD price chart
BTC/USD price chart by Tradingview

Also limiting movement is the three-months-long trendline resistance and the moving averages (both the 50 MA at $10,041 and the 100 MA $10,171). The double-cross of the 50 SMA under the 100 SMA around $10,265 meant that a lower consolidation was going to happen one way or the other.

Technical indicators are still strongly negative painting a picture of a downside action that is not yet over. For instance, the moving average convergence divergence failed to cross above the zero line following the recovery from the first drop to $9,600 (last week low). This left a gap that was later explored by the bears sending Bitcoin on another flash drop journey to $9,800 on Monday. The MACD’s visible divergence is negative signaling a stronger bearish momentum in the near-term.

In addition to that, Bitcoin is dealing with lower volumes as well as lower volatility levels. This means that recovery towards $10,000 without stronger fundamentals will lead to a subsequent drop in price. The most likely movement for Bitcoin is to refresh the buy zone at $9,200. This will create fresh demand thrusting Bitcoin above $10,000 and probably the next target at $10,400.

Bitcoin Key Technical Levels

Spot rate: $9,710

Relative Change: +21

Open: $9,688

Low: $9,599.85

High: $9,776

Trend: Short-term bullish

Volatility: Expanding

Volume: Low

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