Bitcoin [BTC]’s rise and fall has been a consistent event that has grabbed headlines in the cryptocurrency space. According to the latest financial analysis conducted by UBS research analyst Kevin Dennean, the fans of the cryptocurrency will have to wait for over 22 years to climb back to its earlier heights of $19,000- $20,000.
Dennean made these claims comparing the pattern of Bitcoin and the cryptosphere with the trends of other financial system crashes like the Dow Jones crash of 1929, the NASDAQ slide in 2000 and the Oil tumble of 2008. The UBS analyst pointed to how a lot of the cryptocurrency’s proponents stated that Bitcoin is en route to a bull surge because ‘other assets did that in the past’. He laid the foundation for the delayed rise of Bitcoin by saying:
“We’re struck by how long it took other asset bubbles to recover their peak levels (as long as 22 years for the Dow Jones Industrials) and how pedestrian the annualized returns from trough to the recovery often are.”
Dennean was also of the opinion that not every bubble that bursts recovers its old highs, taking the example of the Nikkei crash, which after 30 years of its fall, has still not managed to reach its earlier peak, currently trading at around half its all-time highs. The Japanese asset price bubble was an inflated economic bubble in the late 80s where the real estate and the stock market prices were greatly volatile. In 1992, the price bubble burst and Japan’s economic machine came to a standstill.
Another figure used by Dennean was the fact that all the asset classes, including Bitcoin, fell by 75 percent with Bitcoin breaching the 80 percent barrier. After the crash, only the Dow Jones and the NASDAQ provided a reprieve to users after rising back to its earlier highs.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading for $5292 with a market cap of $93.423 million. The 24-hour trading volume was clocked at $12.985.
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